BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Des Moines Lincoln

Class: 4A Class Rank: 35 Conference: (9-13) Overall: (9-13) Overall Strength =   87.47

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Away    W * 101.66  51   40   4A   34 ( 9-14) Marshalltown           14.19     -3.19                      
  2 12/02/2005 Away    L *  88.83  55   62   4A   25 (11-13) Southeast Polk          1.37     -8.37                      
  3 12/06/2005 Home    W *  93.75  56   54   4A   27 (11-12) Ames                    6.29     -4.29                      
  4 12/09/2005 Away    L *  85.39  60   74   4A   19 (14- 8) Des Moines East        -2.08    -11.92                      
  5 12/13/2005 Home    L *  93.54  36   46   4A    6 (20- 3) Urbandale               6.07    -16.07                      
  6 12/16/2005 Home    L *  83.37  45   66   4A    5 (26- 0) Des Moines Hoover      -4.10    -16.90                      
  7 12/20/2005 Away    L *  70.51  38   73   4A    8 (19- 4) WDM Dowling           -16.96    -18.04                      
  8 01/03/2006 Home    L *  79.71  56   72   4A   17 (16- 8) Fort Dodge             -7.76     -8.24                      
  9 01/06/2006 Home    W *  85.79  52   51   4A   37 ( 6-17) Ottumwa                -1.68      2.68                      
 10 01/13/2006 Away    W *  82.97  60   47   4A   48 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       -4.50     17.50                      
 11 01/17/2006 Home    W *  99.06  42   39   4A   18 (14-11) Johnston               11.59     -8.59                      
 12 01/20/2006 Home    L *  78.32  45   61   4A   23 (12-10) Des Moines Roosevelt   -9.15     -6.85                      
 13 01/27/2006 Home    L *  89.59  50   56   4A   19 (14- 8) Des Moines East         2.12     -8.12                      
 14 01/31/2006 Away    L *  90.17  32   50   4A    5 (26- 0) Des Moines Hoover       2.70    -20.70                      
 15 02/03/2006 Away    W * 103.59  55   40   4A   37 ( 6-17) Ottumwa                16.12     -1.12                      
 16 02/07/2006 Away    W *  81.24  55   52   4A   46 ( 2-20) Newton                 -6.23      9.23                      
 17 02/10/2006 Home    W *  78.17  71   59   4A   48 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       -9.30     21.30                      
 18 02/14/2006 Away    L *  86.88  55   69   4A   16 (15- 9) Indianola              -0.59    -13.41                      
 19 02/17/2006 Away    L *  92.13  59   65   4A   23 (12-10) Des Moines Roosevelt    4.66    -10.66                      
 20 02/21/2006 Home    W * 101.99  69   54   4A   33 ( 5-17) Mason City             14.52      0.48                      
 21 02/24/2006 Home    L *  74.61  44   49   4A   42 ( 5-17) WDM Valley            -12.86      7.86                      
 22 03/03/2006 Home    L *  83.03  60   69   4A   25 (11-13) Southeast Polk         -4.44     -4.56                      
      Averages              87.47  52.1 56.7

Best game:  103.59 = 15 point win over Ottumwa
Worst game:  70.51 = 35 point loss to West Des Moines Dowling
Team stdev:   9.01